Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 59.249509 67.382811 75.768798 85.028227 94.933114 105.180545 116.553386
2025-03-23 47.827646 59.503865 72.149049 86.724658 102.931692 120.280612 140.138766
2025-03-30 41.123165 54.781515 70.119454 88.338965 109.128652 131.875256 158.414596
2025-04-06 34.829617 49.596696 66.761124 87.716680 112.178145 139.446111 171.770772
2025-04-13 29.004715 44.245404 62.585144 85.575816 112.988901 144.070091 181.440324
2025-04-20 26.740801 42.997544 63.073342 88.725221 119.770753 155.383082 198.612281
2025-04-27 24.294818 41.231702 62.698903 90.643851 124.948728 164.731999 213.452557
2025-05-04 21.147384 38.209667 60.483828 90.078496 126.967586 170.243961 223.732099
2025-05-11 18.293335 35.296849 58.175299 89.194732 128.434831 174.976375 232.998231
2025-05-18 16.358815 33.497893 57.183044 89.858247 131.707723 181.794959 244.677676
2025-05-25 14.259765 31.234970 55.397251 89.357107 133.421628 186.656239 253.973679
2025-06-01 12.647013 29.548920 54.280206 89.631070 136.033613 192.554460 264.475162
2025-06-08 10.762702 27.241518 52.170466 88.513274 136.853270 196.281778 272.431880
2025-06-15 9.765162 26.308860 51.977104 89.945004 140.931799 204.029711 285.281470
2025-06-22 8.935837 25.572463 52.009167 91.640321 145.324381 212.155503 298.593765
2025-06-29 7.647208 23.836381 50.422602 90.997518 146.590686 216.334417 307.052999
2025-07-06 6.190808 21.550625 47.830711 88.809856 145.715218 217.746712 312.053620
2025-07-13 5.946990 21.670955 49.021346 92.029249 152.060802 228.308709 328.382125
2025-07-20 5.488441 21.279701 49.355410 93.990132 156.708700 236.718077 342.058990
2025-07-27 4.638863 19.900966 47.992640 93.412368 157.882027 240.666873 350.175103
2025-08-03 3.840663 18.479582 46.459872 92.509146 158.557933 243.940949 357.424965
2025-08-10 3.357106 17.726476 46.010510 93.187278 161.379691 249.969519 368.125995
2025-08-17 2.775706 16.586535 44.810728 92.675102 162.518426 253.795053 376.044520